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3 AugustCommodities

WTI's crude short has nowhere left to run; Brent's long still does

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28 JulyMacro & Policy

Iran's war premium drains out of crude while the 2-year yield stays put

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27 JulyCommodities

The WTI mismatch view breaks on its own test, and Brent's longs keep building into the drop

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24 JulyMacro & Policy

A 25.72% crude rally on Iran risk finds no echo in Treasury yields

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23 JulyMacro & Policy

A $125.9bn issuance wave hits the tape before the 10-year auction even clears

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22 JulyCommodities

WTI shorts pile in at a 93.6% percentile rank while crude keeps climbing

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20 JulyCommodities

One cease-fire wire erases nine sessions of Iran war premium in crude

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17 JulyCommodities

A 12% crude run undoes the desk's own call that Iran risk had gone stale

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17 JulyMacro & Policy

Disinflation loses the vote to fiscal supply and a fresh WTI high

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15 JulyCommodities

Crude ignores direct US strikes on Iran, and the tape says why

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15 JulyMacro & Policy

Soft PPI and a China growth miss outvote a US strike on Iran

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14 JulyCommodities

Silver's 3.41% jump outpaces oil, handing Iran's risk premium to metals

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14 JulyMacro & Policy

A cooler CPI print outlasts a live Hormuz blockade, but bonds aren't cheering

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14 JulyCommodities

A 1983-low strategic reserve collides with a WTI short that keeps growing

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14 JulyMacro & Policy

A 3.8% CPI forecast collides with a bond market already betting against it

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13 JulyCommodities

WTI's second escalation gain runs into a supply picture that is still net looser

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13 JulyMacro & Policy

Oil's Iran shock meets a labor slump ahead of the CPI print

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13 JulyCommodities

WTI's 4.76% jump on Iran strike tests the desk's glut thesis

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13 JulyMacro & Policy

Crude's five-day bounce puts a hole in the CPI disinflation story

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10 JulyCommodities

IEA's demand downgrade explains why oil shrugs off Iran war rhetoric

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9 JulyCommodities

WTI's slide to 72.49 shows the market fading Trump's war premium

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8 JulyCommodities

Trump's Iran ceasefire remark jolts WTI, but positioning hasn't turned

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8 JulyMacro & Policy

Gold's slide tests the rate-cut story the desk has doubted since 3 July

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7 JulyCommodities

Washington, not OPEC+, is now the marginal seller keeping crude's glut story intact

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5 JulyCommodities

OPEC+ is adding barrels into a market that just priced out its own war premium

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3 JulyCommodities

Citi's $60 call lands on a market where positioning has already stopped fighting the glut

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2 JulyCommodities

Crude's stock draw to an eight-year low no longer moves the price, and that is the tell

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2 JulyCommodities

The short-covering the desk flagged on 1 July has stalled, and the tape now agrees with the glut story

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1 JulyCommodities

Crude's inventory squeeze is real, but positioning says the market doesn't believe it lasts

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